Tuesday, April 17, 2012

Presidential election results

Presidential election results remain a guess-who game until November 6, this year. The ballots cast by citizens for a number of members in the U.S. Electoral College reflect the preferences of the population for the president and the vice-president. The electors thus choose the president, with the mention that the elections occur simultaneously with other local, state and federal election races. The election campaigns represent the toughest period of the entire race.

Polls show presidential election results in the form of approval and disapproval rates for the various candidates with variations among the different populations: white, Hispanic and African American. Fluctuations in poll results are sometimes so high, without an external reason, that analysts suspect that, to a certain extent, we can't really anticipate what presidential election results will look like. The biggest variables come from the states where there is neither Democratic nor Republican clear preference. There are states that are only slightly Democratic or Republican, and they usually tip the scales.

The presidential election results are influenced by technology and media with very wide methods of communication. The candidates for the White House appear in public debates, facing each other and discussing very tough and controversial issues for the state of the nation. The Internet is another major element in presidential campaigns. Videos that appear with one candidate or another now create quite a stir among electors, which did not happen in the early days of the Internet. Now, the world wide web is a power that has the capacity to influence presidential election results.

There is very little regulation over this e-campaigning. In 2006, the Federal Election Commission voted not to use any regulations for political communication on the Internet. Lots of people who want a historical perspective on the race for the White House, check presidential election results over longer periods of time, sometimes going back one or two centuries. Repetitive patterns may be identified as well as major changes in politics. For a historian, such presidential election results mean more than just a number on paper; they mark a page of American history.

The average individual will usually show a moderate interest in presidential election results as presented by polls, mainly because day-to-day worries and tasks seem more pressing than who's going to be the next president of the United States. Political debates are now followed on TV just as people would watch a good night movie.

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